Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 3.535598 4.176043 4.868133 5.667961 6.563074 7.530269 8.650585
2026-01-18 2.661818 3.517255 4.517034 5.756781 7.237238 8.932976 11.005891
2026-01-25 1.945650 2.878616 4.055987 5.615316 7.588856 9.965998 13.005459
2026-02-01 1.443300 2.392451 3.683507 5.501890 7.926730 10.978018 15.030467
2026-02-08 1.078253 2.005930 3.364538 5.392512 8.228694 11.938349 17.029358
2026-02-15 0.821906 1.716144 3.123184 5.340311 8.577072 12.957011 19.139741
2026-02-22 0.689894 1.592838 3.102512 5.588865 9.344468 14.562299 22.087840
2026-03-01 0.543559 1.405471 2.945622 5.603661 9.762216 15.696079 24.439566
2026-03-08 0.385883 1.148144 2.623191 5.310008 9.682577 16.107283 25.795658
2026-03-15 0.278165 0.956626 2.377577 5.102498 9.701972 16.642024 27.326001
2026-03-22 0.241415 0.917598 2.410636 5.370640 10.483527 18.326737 30.555292
2026-03-29 0.221238 0.914555 2.513082 5.767623 11.492242 20.387412 34.392569
2026-04-05 0.194699 0.887935 2.567147 6.088966 12.408628 22.366718 38.212165
2026-04-12 0.154954 0.806468 2.489397 6.154409 12.896669 23.705186 41.127378
2026-04-19 0.111109 0.688038 2.304136 5.988966 12.971991 24.395582 43.088189
2026-04-26 0.079446 0.591554 2.148322 5.860041 13.095448 25.158606 45.174658
2026-05-03 0.055949 0.508902 2.006648 5.739503 13.218238 25.915377 47.263115
2026-05-10 0.039952 0.445801 1.901158 5.681315 13.446503 26.847008 49.643864
2026-05-17 0.034094 0.433303 1.937074 5.939519 14.281758 28.814104 53.703295
2026-05-24 0.024932 0.389624 1.869670 5.953710 14.648230 30.001227 56.550881
2026-05-31 0.014155 0.313225 1.675999 5.645489 14.362947 30.062033 57.588858
2026-06-07 0.007978 0.257316 1.529477 5.427684 14.235361 30.380236 59.040594
2026-06-14 0.006804 0.255423 1.578553 5.708256 15.134236 32.521122 63.520726